Ticker for June 11, 2018

                
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June 11, 2018      June 11, 2018      June 11, 2018      June 11, 2018


Gnarly!




Well what do you want to talk about...the endless sultry days of summer with
heat indices in the 100s, or the chance for a tropical monsoon next week sometime?
I thought so, and as a child of the 80s, who can resist our good friend and all
around good guy, Jeff Spicoli? With the genesis of Hurricane Bud in the eastern
tropical pacific, and forecast tracks JUST starting to hint of a northward path
towards the Gulf of California with a possible curveback to the northeast, why
not throw a fantasy-cast out there?

A lot of folks don't realize that many of our biggest widespread rain events
occurred with the remnants of PACIFIC hurricanes. The atlantic tropical systems
get all the pub, but as former Acting State Climatologist and Ticker-writer
extraordinaire Deke Arndt once wrote, nobody puts the pacific in the corner.

(Ooh, a rare "Dirty Dancing" and "Fast Times At Ridgemont High" crossover.)

You can read Deke's summary in the 2006 Fall edition of the now defunct seasonal
summary series.

http://climate.ok.gov/summaries/seasonal/Oklahoma_Climate_Fall_2006.pdf

The list is impressive...Norma, Tico, Paine, Waldo, Raymond, Lester, Ismael,
etc.

A bit of a caveat here...these are specific examples of fall events, that
generally interacted with a stalled frontal system over the state. So a bit
different scenario that what we're talking about here. Definitely not fall,
as the temperature map will attest to.




And it's still too early to tell the synoptic conditions we'll be facing next
week. It does appear we'll have lots and lots of tropical moisture from the
Gulf (of Mexico, this time...remember, that's where we get the majority of our
moisture flow from). The huge questions now are, what's Bud going to do, and
what sort of features will we see on our weather maps next week.

The Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day outlooks and the hazards outlook are
just starting to pick up on the possibility of some heavy rainfall, mainly
to our west, but also over Oklahoma. It will be interesting to see what the new
maps show today. The temp and precip outlooks are computer generated on the
weekends, so no human interpretations until later this afternoon. Lots can
change here, of course...to the west OR east.







This is not a forecast, but just a break from the summer doldrums. Something
to think about. We could easily make a rule that says "NO FANTASY-CASTS ALLOWED
ON THE TICKER!" But that's bogus.

So if we don't get some cool rules ourselves, pronto, we'll just be bogus too.

FANTASY-CASTS ALLOWED!

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org