MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... August 7, 2023 August 7, 2023 August 7, 2023 August 7, 2023
A Summer Story
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png
Only this time, I DID say fudge, because fudge is delicious. But anyways...
Don't look now (you can do it...I say the same thing every morning when I'm approaching the mirror), but are we going into flash drought? Sure looks like it, right? Especially when we look at the days without a tenth of an inch...like my scalp.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/mesonet.rainfall.tenthinch.png
And remember, some parts of the state are in drought already and getting worser, which is worser than worse despite it not being a word.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/20230801_ok_trd.png
Now it has rained a bit over the last couple of days, but the pattern emerging is that it sticks to the northeastern half of the state or so, while the SW half or so misses out. Our radar overlays aren't on the map right now due to technical issues, so I added my own.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/rainrfc.48hr.png
Ahhhhh, Bach.
Heck, it's raining right now for crying out loud!
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/current-radar.png
The trouble is that rain, like recent events, is skedaddling (Okie to English translation: moving) off to the southeast, bypassing SW OK. And the 48-hour rainfall forecast reflects that as well.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/48hour-rain-forecast.png
Now we do have some rain chances through the week, but mostly in that same pattern mentioned above as we remain in NW flow, at least the NE half of the state or so. Unfortunately for the SW sections of the state, they'll continue mostly in full summer mode since they are still under the influence of that upper-level high to our west. However, that NW flow will allow various fronts and clouds and rain chances to continue throughout the week.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/nws-norman-7day-planner.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/7day-rain-forecast.gif
And as we've seen in the past, some of those rounds of storms will be of the *build in the High Plains and move to the SE, hopefully over Oklahoma, but probably in the overnight hours* variety. And there will be a chance of severe weather.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/OK_swody1.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/OK_swody2.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/OK_swody3.png
Annnnnnndddddd...we might see that moisture chance continue as we go into next week.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230807/aug12-16-precip-outlook.png
That's fantasy-cast territory, and those CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlook maps aren't looked at and adjusted by humans over the weekend...they're strictly computer generated, so grain of salt time.
So until we meet again...enjoy or hate Oklahoma weather, depending on where you are.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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