Ticker for October 6, 2015

                
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ...
October 6, 2015    October 6, 2015    October 6, 2015    October 6, 2015


Rain rain, going away




We have an upper-level low to the west of us that wants to take a Mexican vacation,
and a front coming through that's begging for a glass of water. Together, that
means that our rain chances are taking the old nosedive into Flash Drought Lake.







So the chances are there, a bit lower than previously advertised, and the same
story holds for the amounts.



On top of that, we have a possible return to summer in the forecast for early
next week with highs in the 80s and even some low 90s.



This means flash drought will be enhanced rather than relieved. The impacts
continue to show up in our soil moisture data from the Mesonet, and we have our
first burn ban for the state implemented in McCurtain County.

http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/category/soil_moisture


And the various drought indices we look at are all showing the flash drought
development, especially in the 60-day time frame.





And the dry weather can be traced back to July 29. For that ~70 day period,
we're down more than 5 inches in some places...the 7th driest such period on
record since at least 1921 for SC Oklahoma.






I wish we had better news. Don't pack the shorts away just yet, and keep your
snowcone coupons handy. Next week looks very early September-ish.




Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org