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. . . Ticker for October 20, 2015 . . .
        
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October 20, 2015 October 20, 2015 October 20, 2015 October 20, 2015


Drought eraser


http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/drought-eraser.png

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor map (from last Thursday) was definitely ugly, and
given that the new on on Thursday only considers what happened up through Tuesday
morning (a whole lot of nothing!), you can expect it to look worse. But it will
*probably* be raining heavily at that time...especially across western Oklahoma.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/wed-thurs-nws-norman.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/thurs-fri-nws-norman.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/nws-tulsa.png

For the western and central portions of the state, that should be the bulk of
the precip. Check out the rainfall total map just released by WPC for now through
Friday.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/3day-rainfall-forecast.gif

ZOUNDS!! 5 inches across western OK and NW Texas? What is this, May? There will
be a definite flooding threat with that type of rainfall.

After that, the focus shifts further to the east where a frontal boundary should
stall out and interact with that Gulf moisture, allowing for possible drought
ease-ification later into the weekend.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151020/fri-sun-rainfall-forecast.gif

The point, which I rarely approach, is that it's going to rain after a long,
LONG hiatus for significant portions of the state. So be prepared for heavy
rainfall, and also be prepared to ignore the new Drought Monitor map that comes
out on Thursday.

Just in case.

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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