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September 22, 2015 September 22, 2015 September 22, 2015 September 22, 2015
A Hurricane in Boise City?
Not quite, but Tropical Depression 16-E, or what USED to be Tropical Depression
16-E, is still expected to bring some fairly good moisture to the Oklahoma
Panhandle (and parts to and fro).
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/7day-rainfall-forecast.gif
It never did look like much as it was broken up due to a quick landfall, and has
now dissipated a bit earlier than expected.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/16E-track.map.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/16E-2.gif
But the "energy" associated with the system (I hear you meteorologists cringing)
is still there, at least enough to generate rainfall from the Desert Southwest
up through the Northern Plains. In fact, the first wave is about to move into
the Panhandle as we type.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/16-E-radar.png
There will also be some moisture chances included in that 7-day rainfall
forecast from a frontal system later in the week. That will also spread rain
chances a little farther to the SE (but not great chances). After that, we once
again enter the early fall doldrums that can sometimes plague the Southern
Plains in late September. Today should be the hottest day this week, however.
Here are some graphics from our friends at the NWS offices to help us out.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/nws-norman-7day.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/nws-norman-temperatures.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/nws-tulsa.png
And let's not forget that autumn will fall (yep, I just did that!) on tomorrow.
If you want to get silly and go outside and bark at the moon at the exact time,
well, set the alarm for 3:22am. Here's a graphic from the Shreveport NWS office
that gives us a nice science lesson on the Autumnal Equinox.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20150922/nws-shreve-fall-equinox.jpg
A final note, climatologists and meteorologists alike keep "fall" records based
on the Sept. 1-Nov. 30 time frame, since the actual dates for the seasons are
moving windows (i.e., it's hard to keep track and rank historical records when
the dates are different from year to year).
Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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