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MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... April 26, 2021 April 26, 2021 April 26, 2021 April 26, 2021 Flood tubes 3 and 4 http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/5day-rain-forecast.png Have you ever noticed that adults won't think twice about eating chicken strips, but somehow think fish sticks are for kids only? What about if we called them "fish strips?" Oh, you throw a piece of haddock (I swear that's a fish??) or cod and call it a "filet" and you'd scarf it down...but fish sticks? Well, that's where my thinking started this morning, and now I'm hungry for fish strips. Our high end severe risk day could still happen, but heavy rains are looking more and more certain over the Tuesday and Wednesday into early Thursday. Here are the outlooks from SPC for tomorrow concerning the actual severe part of the severe weather event...not that flash flooding isn't severe, but I'm talking the hail and winds and tornadoes. Oh my?? Step aside for these maps, Dorothy. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/day2otlk_0600.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/day2probotlk_0600_torn.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/day2probotlk_0600_wind.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/day2probotlk_0600_hail.gif We have a standard spring setup for tomorrow, with a storm system to the north dragging a dryline and front into play. The question is how much moisture return do we get for the dryline, will early rains mess up that setup, how hot will it get and is that enough to break the convective cap. Once storms form, if they do, then they'll march to the east and possibly form a squall line. Then we start to get the moisture flowing in for late Tuesday into Wednesday, and the heavy rains begin in Earnest (which I prefer over beginning in Gary, or even Geary). We should have the warmth. The atmosphere has really heated up over the last couple of days, with a glimpse of summer out west. Today and tomorrow will be on the hot side out in storm-initiation territory as well. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/yesterdays-highs.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/todays-forecast-highs.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/tuesdays-forecast-highs.png Dewpoints are only in the 50s across much of Oklahoma, and the severe weather needs those 60s down in Texas to start flowing up this way. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/current-dewpoints.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/latest.tdew.png Notice how dry it is out in the Panhandle, however. That low humidity along with fierce winds gusting to over 45 mph will create pretty dangerous fire conditions out that way. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/nws-amarillo-fire.danger.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/latest.oklahoma.winds.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/latest.oklahoma.fire.gif We need the rain, especially down south and up in the northwest where the last few storm systems have left them wanting. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/30day-rain-totals.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/pct30day_rain.current.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210426/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png Fried catfish is awesome, by the way. Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================