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. . . Ticker for January 11, 2024 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... January 11, 2024 January 11, 2024 January 11, 2024 January 11, 2024 Snow-lite https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/Jan12-Braums-DEFCON.png Remember when Mercutio got stabbed by Tybalt under Romeo's arm when Romeo tried to stop them from fighting? Everybody thought Mercutio was joking as he lay dying, but Benvolio, gentle soul that he was, sensed something was wrong and said "bruh, you're really hurt?" Mercutio replies with "Ay, ay, a scratch, a scratch; marry, 'tis enough." Romeo then steps in with a non-helpful "Courage, man; the hurt cannot be much." Yeah, that was well before Monty Python took credit for the "flesh wound" bit. Anyway, Mercutio struggles back with "No, 'tis not so deep as a well, nor so wide as a church-door; but 'tis enough,'twill serve: ask for me to-morrow, and you shall find me a grave man." Yeah, forgive me from going all Shakespeare on you, but I do love me some Mercutio. But why tho? Well, I thought it was an apt comparison between our snow situation overnight what with the first Arctic front coming in late tonight that will kick in in (I said "in" twice...I like "in") the morning with temperatures down into the teens and wind chills near or below zero. Add just a bit of snow, and possibly a bit of rain before that, and you have the makings of a mess in the morning as folks get out and about to do their bidness. Or go to school. Or go to Braum's to get some emergency bread and milk. I'm basing the Braum's DEF-CON Meter on the NWS forecasts for snowfall and wind, and a look at some High-Res model output for temps and wind chills. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/48hour-snow-forecast.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/6am-wind.chills.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/6am-temps.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/max-wind-gusts-overnight.png Now you don't want to get out driving in that POSSIBLE mess (things could change between now and then...stay tuned), end up in a ditch, then have to journey out into 35-50 mph wind gusts with wind chills around zero and end up as worm's meat (Mercutio's words, not mine), do ya? We already have a wind advisory out for 9pm tonight to 9am tomorrow. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/latest.oklahoma.winds.gif Here's what our local NWS offices have to say about tomorrow's snow. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/nws-tulsa-snow.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/nws-norman-snow.png NWS Tulsa: "Rain is expect to transition to snow late tonight into Friday across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas behind a strong cold front. Most areas are forecast to see a dusting to around 1 inch of snow while portions of northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas could see over an inch of snow. Roads could become slick and hazardous. Use extra caution when driving." So, not much snow, but dangerous conditions nonetheless with possible slick roadways, blowing snow with very low visibility, and wind chills down close to zero. Ay, ay, a scratch, a scratch; marry, 'tis enough. Now onwards past tomorrow morning, we will see a bit of a warm-up Friday afternoon above freezing for some of us, then another shot of Arctic air Saturday into Sunday that will give us some of the coldest air we've seen over the last 3 years, at least since Feb. 2021's nonsense. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/saturday-lows.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/sunday-lows.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/monday-lows.png Sticking with the lows there, but add in the winds and we'll see wind chills down into the minus single-digits to minus 20s Sunday through Tuesday. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/sunday-morning-wind.chills.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/monday-morning-wind.chills.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/tuesday-morning-wind.chills.png And confidence is increasing that we'll see something of a heavy snow event Sunday into Monday where some folks could get more than a half a foot of snow. No, nobody is getting two feet of snow. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/two-feet-snow.png Anyway, more on that tomorrow when the forecasts sync a bit better (and don't call me more on!). It does look like we'll start to snap out of it on Wednesday as the dome of cold air is dragged to the north and east of us. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/nws-norman-7day-temps.png Oh yeah, it's still coming all right. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240111/latest.tapp.png Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================