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MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... January 10, 2024 January 10, 2024 January 10, 2024 January 10, 2024 February 2021-lite https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/Friday-Wednesday-cold-Jan2024.png Want to see something really scary? Check this out. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/Rooster.jpg I know, right? But ya wanna see something even MORE terrifying? Well check THIS out! http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210204/next.week.png I KNOW, RIGHT? That was my preview of our February 2021 Deep Freeze event, and darned if it didn't end up worse than that. Oh by the way, I didn't have room to add on a 7th day from next week, so here it is. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/thur-6am.png Now those are all wind chills, because the most deadly part of the cold snap will be for those out in it, but we know from experience back in 2021 that a lot of preparations are needed to get ready. Here's what our local NWS offices have to say about it. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-norman-cold.safety.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-tulsa-cold.safety.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-amarillo-cold.png But Monday will be the most dangerous day, as shown here by the Norman NWS office. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-norman-cold.png Here are the actual lows and highs forecast for Monday. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/monday-lows.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/Monday-highs.png All in all, it won't be as bad as the February 2021 event (fingers crossed, legs crossed, eyes crossed). I don't think we'll see the coldest day in Oklahoma history, at least. Again, from February 2021. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210216/coldest-day.png But we will see a good 4-5 days below freezing for parts of the state (i.e., northern Oklahoma, maybe expanding south). And 120 consecutive hours below freezing is nothing to sneeze at. But it won't match February 2021, which saw Lahoma go 334 consecutive hours below freezing. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210222/total-freeze-hours.png SAY FEBRUARY 2021 AGAIN! Well sorry, but it IS the latest event we have to compare it to, and at least it should pale in comparison to that one. Hence, February 2021-lite. For our final comparison, the absolute depth and duration of the cold will not come close (cross anything ya got!). https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/feb-2021-statewide-avgs.png Snow could complicate things, and it certainly did back in February 2021. It sort of acts like a deep freeze, keeping things ensconced in ice a lot longer than what we would normally see. It reflects the suns rays back to space, and helps lower temps at night, especially on a clear night. Thursday night into Friday looks pretty weak as far as snowstorms go, with maybe an inch or two up in far NE OK. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-norman-friday-snow.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/nws-tulsa-friday-snow.png The bigger snow threat will come on Monday, which for parts of the state could turn into a major snowfall (hey, Major Snowfall was my band's name in the French Foreign Legion!) event. Right now, the model output is showing increased odds of a 4-inches+ snow event possible across the NE half of the state, but some individual runs are seeing up to a foot of snow. That can and probably will change a lot in the next 5 days leading up to the event, but check this out for fun. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20240110/snow-totals-thru-wednesday.png Oh yeah, I definitely chose the craziest model. Those Canadians are crrrrazyyy! Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================