MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... July 30, 2020 July 30, 2020 July 30, 2020 July 30, 2020
What a wonderful July?
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/july-rain-pct-normal.png
The alarm bells were sounded at the end of June: you don't want a drought in place headed into the depths of summer (i.e., July and August). I know of said bells, because I was the one ringing them. That alone was enough to end up with an eggstremely (egg on my face reference...work with me) wet July in the hardest hit parts of the state. Yes, Mother Nature spites me like that.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/30day-rain-totals.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/july-rain-departure.png
Not too shabby. Yes, there are definitely some that got too much, and the ensuing flooding was not welcomed. And others didn't get enough, and the current Drought Monitor map reflects that.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/20200728_OK_trd.png
The 26% of the state still in drought is way too much, but just look at the changes we've seen since the end of June.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/June30-July28-DM-changes.png
The unfortunate part is the addition of the drought in southwestern Oklahoma, but the improvements in the Panhandle come after nearly 9 months of tough drought conditions. And north central Oklahoma was headed for some really bad fortunes staring July in the face with a flash drought continuing to intensify rapidly. It wasn't that long ago that places like Watonga and Kingfisher were seeing record low rainfall amounts from April forward.
Now here's some better news. The rain isn't done with us yet. We have a few more days of rain chances, extending into early next week. Today could be a soaker across much of the main body of the state. Trouble is, some of that more turbulent weather might come with it. It's Oklahoma. It's expected.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/day1otlk_1300.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/day1probotlk_1300_wind.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/day1probotlk_1300_hail.gif
That ain't much. Of course, if the severe stuff hits where you live, then it IS much. But you know what I mean. So we'll hope some of this rain on the 7-day precip forecast shifts to the south and west, because south central and southwestern Oklahoma are in danger of seeing drought proliferate without appreciable moisture soon.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/7day-rain-forecast.gif
One thing working in their favor is the much cooler air that has spread over the region, reducing the pressure on the soil moisture and surface water supplies, which by itself can reduce the dangers of flash drought.
After that, it looks dry again but still cool.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/aug4-8-temp-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200730/aug4-8-precip-outlook.gif
This will be a test of Mother Nature's spitefulness towards me. I guess we'll get ready for an extremely wet first week of August, with sweltering temperatures!
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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