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. . . Ticker for April 22, 2019 . . .
        
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The Three Eyed Forecast Model


http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/latest.oklahoma.flood.gif

Our fortunes are looking up, with another storm system about to go active across
the Southern Plains with low chances for severe weather. So we get all the rain
(and in this case, maybe a bit too much) without all the rumble and bluster. That
was my band's name as a teenager, by the way. I played a mean accordion (full
disclosure...I wasn't in a band, and I didn't play an accordion).

The cold front that should help initiate the showers and storms later today is
already in place from SW through central Oklahoma, showing up on the Mesonet
wind maps better than the temperature maps right now. Just look for northerly
winds meeting southerly winds for its location.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/current.WSPD.grad.png

And with lots of low level moisture streaming from the south (in addition to that
mid-level moisture we're not seeing on our surface maps), that sets the stage for
a heavy rainfall event.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/current.TDEW.grad.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/latest.tdew.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/2day-rain-forecast.gif

There will still be a chance of severe weather across southwestern Oklahoma. It
IS spring in Oklahoma, after all. Nothing major by our standards, luckily.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/nws-norman-svr.png

The upper-level storm controlling all this is going to stick around for a few
more days, leaving us with chances of rain here and there. The emphasis of the
storm system will shift to the southeast until it finally kicks out of here
by Thursday. Then we should see another really nice, warm weekend.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/7day-rain-forecast.gif

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/friday-forecast-highs.png

After that, I would imagine more rain chances. It IS spring in Oklahoma, after
all.

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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