MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... April 22, 2019 April 22, 2019 April 22, 2019 April 22, 2019
The Three Eyed Forecast Model
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/latest.oklahoma.flood.gif
Our fortunes are looking up, with another storm system about to go active across the Southern Plains with low chances for severe weather. So we get all the rain (and in this case, maybe a bit too much) without all the rumble and bluster. That was my band's name as a teenager, by the way. I played a mean accordion (full disclosure...I wasn't in a band, and I didn't play an accordion).
The cold front that should help initiate the showers and storms later today is already in place from SW through central Oklahoma, showing up on the Mesonet wind maps better than the temperature maps right now. Just look for northerly winds meeting southerly winds for its location.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/current.WSPD.grad.png
And with lots of low level moisture streaming from the south (in addition to that mid-level moisture we're not seeing on our surface maps), that sets the stage for a heavy rainfall event.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/current.TDEW.grad.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/latest.tdew.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/2day-rain-forecast.gif
There will still be a chance of severe weather across southwestern Oklahoma. It IS spring in Oklahoma, after all. Nothing major by our standards, luckily.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/nws-norman-svr.png
The upper-level storm controlling all this is going to stick around for a few more days, leaving us with chances of rain here and there. The emphasis of the storm system will shift to the southeast until it finally kicks out of here by Thursday. Then we should see another really nice, warm weekend.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/7day-rain-forecast.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190422/friday-forecast-highs.png
After that, I would imagine more rain chances. It IS spring in Oklahoma, after all.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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