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March 22, 2023 March 22, 2023 March 22, 2023 March 22, 2023
Realist
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/90day-rain-totals.png
I've watched the weather patterns since the beginning of January with wondrous
abandonment (I have NO CLUE what that means, it just sounded good, sort of like
"peanut brittle"...what the heck is that and who thought it up??) as the rains,
at least the significant moisture, continues to skip the areas *roughly* to the
north and east of I44. With our coming storm system for tomorrow and Friday, the
hope is there for some of that rain to slide up to...NOPE, hope is dead, again!
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/3day-rain-forecast.gif
As the graphic suggests, you can be a glass half full/glass half empty kind of a
person, or you can just admit that what we have here is glass half full/glass
mostly empty situation going on. At least the tornado meter is pegged close to
zero tomorrow (BUT NOT ZERO). Hail looks to be the big threat. As always, don't
stand outside when it's hailing lest you get knots on your noggin faster'n you can
rub 'em.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/OK_swody2.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/OK_swody2_TORN.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/OK_swody2_WIND.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/OK_swody2_HAIL.png
So that hatched area on the hail outlook sez that there is at least a 15% chance
of significant hail (is there any other kind?) of at least 2" within 25 miles
of a point...within that hatched area. However, and stay with me here, if
significant hail does start to fall, that means there's a near 100% chance of
significant hail within 25cm of THAT point!
You know who would take a big of significant hail if it meant getting some
significant rainfall along with it? Well, just about anybody NW of I-44 I'm
betting. Maybe the folks in the Panhandle?
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png
At any rate, it will be warm today and tomorrow, at least part of the day for
some tomorrow, so enjoy that spring whilst it's here.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/todays-forecast-highs.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230322/tomorrows-forecast-highs.png
Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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