Go back to the Ticker Home Page!

. . . Other Tickers . . .
Previous Ticker: January 16, 2019	Following Ticker: January 22, 2019
. . . Tell Others . . .
Share     Tweet
. . . Ticker for January 17, 2019 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... January 17, 2019 January 17, 2019 January 17, 2019 January 17, 2019 Odds are... http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/Feb-April-outlooks.png What, you expected another post about cold weather? PSHAW! Let's look farther ahead to spring, when life actually begins anew. Spring, when we can throw off the cloak of winter's domineering tyranny of frosty endings and rejoice in the sprouting of new hopes and dreams. WHEN MY LIPS AIN'T CHAPPED LIKE I'VE BEEN USING SANDPAPER CHAPSTICK! Sorry, I reverted to my actual self at the end there. The outlooks you see in that figure portray increased odds of wetter than normal conditions across the western third of the state for the February-April period. For the eastern two-thirds, we see equal chances of above-, below- and near-normal precipitation. Basically we go back to the vagaries of climatological chances. THAT DOES NOT MEAN THAT NORMAL VALUES ARE EXPECTED! All three categories have equal odds of occurring, at least according to the Climate Prediction Center. The best news is CPC is not expecting drought to develop anywhere in the state through the end of April. That means no designation of at least D1 on the Drought Monitor map. Doesn't mean we can't hit a dry patch and get some D0, though. Heck, it doesn't mean we can't end up with D4 by then either, since Mother Nature really doesn't care what we think is going to happen. However, this is based off of the clues for the climate pattern Mother Nature is showing us. The great moisture we've had since the beginning of the Water Year in October, and what's been added just since January 1, has given us a great start to our approach to spring. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/YTD.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/YTD-pct.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/wyear.meso.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/wyear.norm_pct.png We also have the outlooks for February alone. Again, nothing major hear, some slightly increased odds of below normal temps and precip across eastern Oklahoma. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/off14_temp.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190117/off14_prcp.gif How about after the February-April period? Well, then we can look forward to summer, the most glorious season of them all! When we throw off the cloak of spring's tyranny of tornadoes and sometimes-cold weather for summer's gloriously hot days and warm nights, when the cicadas are singing and the June bugs are bouncing off your forehead in their out of control journeys. How about after that? Well, we look forward to spring again. Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================