MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019
One-Click Winter Purchase
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Winter-Prime.png
Ummmmm, no! I could have sworn we banned all future cold weather after this weekend's oddly-cold-but-it-wasn't-really-that-cold. For no reason whatsoever, I thought Sunday was the coldest day of the season thus far, even though it wasn't close on the temperature gauges. I just felt cold. Cold to my bones. So cold I took a hotter shower after I took a hot shower. Then I was cold when I got out of the shower. Well hang onto your thermals, folks, because the TRUE coldest air of the season is on its way for this coming weekend. Guaranteed delivery by Saturday (no, you won't get your money back...Ticker buyer beware). A massive pool of cold air will be swept to the south by a powerful storm system traveling across the U.S. this week, leaving us with chances of rain, snow and whatever else decides to fall.
Here's what NWS Tulsa has to say about the event:
"An arctic cold front will push through the region late Friday night into Saturday morning, ushering in the coldest air of the season thus far. Rain is likely Friday night along and ahead of the the front with isolated thunderstorms possible. The precipitation is expected to transition to a wintry mix early Saturday morning across northeast Oklahoma, transitioning to all snow Saturday afternoon and evening across the remainder of the area. Travel impacts will be possible with the potential for accumulating snow north of I-40. It is important to note that we are still several days out and the details will continue to be refined in the coming days. Stay tuned to the latest forecasts as we get closer to the weekend. In addition to the potential travel impact from accumulating snow, dangerous wind chills are likely Saturday night into Sunday morning. Subzero wind chills are expected as temperatures drop into the teens across much of the area with north winds at 10 to 15 mph."
Notice their cautionary language, which was driven home during the December Snowstorm That Wasn't. Still a ways away to start worrying about the "S" word. No, not that one! Snow. We'll see as the event draws near. Here are more pertinent and coherent thoughts in graphical form from our NWS friends.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-amarillo-weekend.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-norman-weekend.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-tulsa-weekend.png
Again, notice some of the cautionary language on the graphics. Still a LONG way out, at least concerning mesoscale impacts (i.e., who'll get snow, who'll get rain, etc.). But the cold air is pretty much a certainty at this point, with "cold" having a certain variance of a degree or three. You can see those changes with the Friday and Saturday forecast high temperature maps.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Friday-forecast-highs.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/saturday-forecast-temps.png
It does look like this cold weather might be a glancing blow, and we'll warm up again next week. But, as bad luck would have it, we might go through this all over again next week.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Jan20-24-temp-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Jan22-28-temp-outlook.gif
Hopefully another glancing blow...last one of the season!
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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