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. . . Ticker for January 15, 2019 . . .
        
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January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019 January 15, 2019


One-Click Winter Purchase


http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Winter-Prime.png

Ummmmm, no! I could have sworn we banned all future cold weather after this
weekend's oddly-cold-but-it-wasn't-really-that-cold. For no reason whatsoever, I
thought Sunday was the coldest day of the season thus far, even though it wasn't
close on the temperature gauges. I just felt cold. Cold to my bones. So cold I
took a hotter shower after I took a hot shower. Then I was cold when I got out
of the shower. Well hang onto your thermals, folks, because the TRUE coldest air
of the season is on its way for this coming weekend. Guaranteed delivery by
Saturday (no, you won't get your money back...Ticker buyer beware). A massive
pool of cold air will be swept to the south by a powerful storm system traveling
across the U.S. this week, leaving us with chances of rain, snow and whatever else
decides to fall.

Here's what NWS Tulsa has to say about the event:

"An arctic cold front will push through the region late Friday night into
Saturday morning, ushering in the coldest air of the season thus far. Rain
is likely Friday night along and ahead of the the front with isolated
thunderstorms possible. The precipitation is expected to transition to
a wintry mix early Saturday morning across northeast Oklahoma,
transitioning to all snow Saturday afternoon and evening across the
remainder of the area. Travel impacts will be possible with the
potential for accumulating snow north of I-40. It is important to note
that we are still several days out and the details will continue to be
refined in the coming days. Stay tuned to the latest forecasts as we
get closer to the weekend. In addition to the potential travel impact
from accumulating snow, dangerous wind chills are likely Saturday
night into Sunday morning. Subzero wind chills are expected as
temperatures drop into the teens across much of the area with north
winds at 10 to 15 mph."

Notice their cautionary language, which was driven home during the December
Snowstorm That Wasn't. Still a ways away to start worrying about the "S" word.
No, not that one! Snow. We'll see as the event draws near. Here are more
pertinent and coherent thoughts in graphical form from our NWS friends.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-amarillo-weekend.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-norman-weekend.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/nws-tulsa-weekend.png

Again, notice some of the cautionary language on the graphics. Still a LONG
way out, at least concerning mesoscale impacts (i.e., who'll get snow, who'll
get rain, etc.). But the cold air is pretty much a certainty at this point,
with "cold" having a certain variance of a degree or three. You can see those
changes with the Friday and Saturday forecast high temperature maps.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Friday-forecast-highs.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/saturday-forecast-temps.png

It does look like this cold weather might be a glancing blow, and we'll warm
up again next week. But, as bad luck would have it, we might go through this
all over again next week.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Jan20-24-temp-outlook.gif

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190115/Jan22-28-temp-outlook.gif

Hopefully another glancing blow...last one of the season!

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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