MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... July 13, 2017 July 13, 2017 July 13, 2017 July 13, 2017
Give it back!
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/Drought.giveaway.png
Sorry if I left your county out, but do you really want this present? And you know those cars Oprah gave away came with a hefty tax bill, right? That's what the old saying says, never look a gift horse in the mouth (or the other end, for obvious reasons). Here's the unadulterated Drought Monitor report for your perusal.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/20170711_OK_trd.png
So we did have improvement across the SE, SC and NC parts of the state, but we also saw deterioration out into Canadian, Blaine and Kingfisher counties, as well as the central Panhandle. That's shown on this 1-week change in intensity map.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/1week-change.png
That expansion west in central OK came from a field report from a county-level official. We love those ground truth reports like McAdams loves Gosling. That allows us to confirm what we're seeing in the data, or in this case, see what WASN'T spelled out in the data.
Let's go a bit further, out to 4 weeks.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/4week-change.png
Here we see the impact of the flash drought across the western quarter of Oklahoma, which not surprisingly matches up with the area of largest deficits over that time frame.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/totals-30days.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/pct-normal-30days.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/depart-normal-30days.png
Lots of rain in lots of places that didn't need it as much as others, but they needed it nonetheless. Areas that saw recent improvements are still in danger of slipping back into the flash drought's grip because they still have underlying deficits out past 30 days. Here's a look at the 60-day maps. Those places in north central OK that were improved this week could easily slip back into impact territory if they go without significant moisture in the face of summer. And that's not to mention the worsening deficits across central OK. That could lead to a jump from moderate to severe drought if we're not careful.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/depart-normal-60days.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/pct-normal-60days.png
Well what about those prospects for rain here in the middle of summer? I'm almost scared to look. Well, as it turns out, those chances are just what you'd expect. Not much! At least for a good soaking rain. The best chances appear to be in the far northwest tonight, a bit more coverage on Saturday. But, not much in the way of moisture.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20170713/7day-rain-forecast.gif
Past that, looks like next week will either be hot, or hotter. Ooh, the excitement of summer!
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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