MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020
Pandesnowium!
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/sunday-snow.png
That's about the best snow forecast map you're going to get in this parsec, and we once made the Kessel run in 12 parsecs to pick up a load of parsecs. Speaking of loads of stuff, the storm system is still out over the pacific, so giving an accurate forecast snow map at this point is problematic. Once that storm system gets onshore and starts getting sampled by the more dense network of our various meteorological sampling platforms to feed into the forecast models, we should start to get a much better picture. Remember the impact of chaos (and imperfect sampling) on our forecast models.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151123/forecasting-chaos.png
I think confidence has grown pretty steadily that it's actually going to snow SOMEWHERE in Oklahoma, probably Sunday morning through the afternoon, and SOMEBODY is going to get some decent snow. As opposed to indecent snow? I guess most of us will take whatever snow we can get. Here is the current thinking from all our NWS friends that cover the state.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-amarillo-snow.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-snow-tulsa.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-norman-snow.png
These maps are going to change, they're just giving us an idea of what to expect where with the current forecast model output, massaged by the forecasters using their experience on what models do best in these types of situations.
The various media weather folks are doing their best as well, but I'll leave it up to you to go sample your favorite weatherperson's forecast. ALL ARE WELCOME! STEP INTO THE LIGHT!
Whoa, never mix the weather and "Poltergeist." Our atmosphere is crazy enough!
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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