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. . . Ticker for December 11, 2020 . . .
        
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December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020 December 11, 2020


Pandesnowium!


http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/sunday-snow.png

That's about the best snow forecast map you're going to get in this parsec, and
we once made the Kessel run in 12 parsecs to pick up a load of parsecs. Speaking
of loads of stuff, the storm system is still out over the pacific, so
giving an accurate forecast snow map at this point is problematic. Once that
storm system gets onshore and starts getting sampled by the more dense network
of our various meteorological sampling platforms to feed into the forecast models,
we should start to get a much better picture. Remember the impact of chaos (and
imperfect sampling) on our forecast models.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151123/forecasting-chaos.png

I think confidence has grown pretty steadily that it's actually going to snow
SOMEWHERE in Oklahoma, probably Sunday morning through the afternoon, and
SOMEBODY is going to get some decent snow. As opposed to indecent snow? I guess
most of us will take whatever snow we can get. Here is the current thinking from
all our NWS friends that cover the state.

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-amarillo-snow.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-snow-tulsa.png

http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201211/nws-norman-snow.png

These maps are going to change, they're just giving us an idea of what to
expect where with the current forecast model output, massaged by the forecasters
using their experience on what models do best in these types of situations.

The various media weather folks are doing their best as well, but I'll leave it
up to you to go sample your favorite weatherperson's forecast. ALL ARE WELCOME!
STEP INTO THE LIGHT!

Whoa, never mix the weather and "Poltergeist." Our atmosphere is crazy enough!

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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