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December 11, 2017 December 11, 2017 December 11, 2017 December 11, 2017
Luke Drywalker
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/Luke.Drywalker.png
Yes, it's new Star Wars movie week...so you'll have to bear with us. And actually,
we've seen this type of dry weather before, and it wasn't pretty then, nor is it
pretty now. Nor is this map.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/mesonet.rainfall.tenthinch.png
So what else can we say now that we haven't said in the last 30-60 days or so.
It's dry, and it looks like it's gonna stay that way for awhile. And the CPC
6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks aren't very encouraging either.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/dec16-20-precip-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/dec18-24-precip-outlook.gif
And we could show you all sorts of long-range weather model output that shows
this storm or that pending for Christmas or around that range, which is all the
rage on the internet right now, but those are fantasy-casts until they get within
a week or so. Don't let anybody tell you otherwise. They're fun to look at, but
other than that, take them for what they're worth.
As for real-world implications the dry stretch has for us, other than a
withering winter wheat crop out in the field, look no further than the fire
danger we have in store for the next few days. We have a Red Flag Fire alert
for today
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/latest.oklahoma.fire.gif
and more fire danger yet to come.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/nws-norman-fire.danger.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171211/nws-tulsa-fire.danger.png
Keep watching those long-range forecasts. When you see something pop up on
about the 7th day or so, then get excited. Not TOO excited, but excited.
Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405)325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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