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. . . Ticker for November 11, 2022 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... November 11, 2022 November 11, 2022 November 11, 2022 November 11, 2022 11s all around https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/19111111.png Well this is rather fitting, isn't it? Some of you lunat...I mean "people" are still celebrating the Blue Norther that crashed down from the North last night, bringing us the "lovely" weather we're having. "What, didn't you know that quotation marks indicate sarcasm?" More on (yes, when you read that in your head, it comes out as my nickname) the palindrome from the last century in a bit...let's take a look at that lovely weather today, shall we? Temperatures have crashed from a lovely fall/spring day yesterday all the way down to January levels. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/24hour-temp-change.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/todays-lows.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/current-wind.chills.png That's okay I guess. I mean, it IS November, after all, smack dab in the warm season. It just seems really bad because of how long and much above normal we've been for the last 5 months or so. And with our temperatures dropping following yesterday's warm front...WRONG, it was a cold front! Thought you could fool me, didn't ya! With our temperatures dropping following yesterday's cold front, so goes the moisture as well. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/24hour-dewpoint-change.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/current-dewpoints.png At least we got some rain out of this mess, which is about the only good point I can find, other than the one on top of my head. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/rainrfc.24hr.png So winter is here...I don't care about the calendar, and it darned doesn't care about me! This is winter. And it's gonna stay that way for awhile. In the next few days, Saturday and Tuesday mornings look particularly cold. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/nws-norman-7day-temps.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/saturday-morning.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/tuesday-morning.png In fact (or fiction, considering we're into fantasy-cast territory), it looks possible that we could remain in this cold pattern through Thanksgiving! https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/nov16-20-temp-outlook.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/nov18-24-temp-outlook.PNG Now the big question I get is "Have you TRULY sought help?", but the other big one is "Is it gonna snow?" Yes, it will probably snow next Monday, maybe into early Tuesday. Unfortunately, the forecast models just don't have a great handle on the situation just yet. The storm system that could bring us snow is still off the West Coast in the Pacific Northwest, so it's not well-sampled yet (much like my green bean casserole at Thanksgiving). Once it moves on land, the forecast models should get a better look at the storms track and potential. At this point chaos still reigns. Yep, in the weather too. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20151123/forecasting-chaos.png And then of course the trick for the models is to get the vertical profile of the atmosphere correct, IN ADVANCE, to determine what kind of precipitation might fall. You have a warm layer above the surface, you might get a really cold rain, you might get freezing drizzle, you might get sleet. If you can keep that snowflake from melting as it falls, you MIGHT get snow. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20131125/winter-precip-types.png Right now, it does look like the vertical profile favors snow, but the surface temperature looks a bit iffy. That snow might fall and then get closer to the surface and melt into a chilly rain, with some snowflakes mixing in. Or, if that moisture that falls can cool the air down (through evaporation) close to the freezing level, we might see accumulating snowfall. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221111/euro-snow-totals.png Doesn't look like a snowstorm as of now, but stranger things have happened. My face proves that. Okay, with all that out of the way, let's take a look back at the crazy weather on this date from 111 years ago. Wait, 11/11/11, 111 years ago? Yikes! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- On that afternoon, Oklahoma City reached a record high temperature of 83 degrees. Soon thereafter, a ?norther? barreled through the state, dropping temperatures 50-65 degrees in the span of a few hours. By midnight, the temperature at Oklahoma City had plunged to a frigid 17 degrees, the record low for that same date. Both records still stand, marking November 11th, 1911, as the only date in state history in which the record high and low temperatures were broken on the same day for a single location. The Great Blue Norther of 11/11/1911 wasn't just confined to Oklahoma. This was a massive cold frontal assault (hint: Erie, PA also set its record high and low on Nov 12, 1911) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================