MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... June 11, 2019 June 11, 2019 June 11, 2019 June 11, 2019
Not fine
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190611/7day-rain-forecast.png
Now listen here, we don't mean to keep sounding like a broken record, but maybe that'll end when we quite breaking records. We have to hope here that the forecast for this coming weekend and early next week is wrong. Here's the setup...chance of storms later today and tonight across the western portions of the state, maybe spilling over into central areas overnight. Not as much moisture available, but watch out for large hail and some strong winds. Normal stuff. Same thing (sorta) for Thursday. But then things look a bit more ominous as we get into the weekend with a stalled front and tons of moisture pumped north from the Gulf of Mexico. We'll worry about the severe weather chances (and those look possible) later, but right now the big worry is for repeated rounds of storms across flood impacted areas. And those chances appear to head right into early next week as well. Here are some graphics to get me to shut up for a minute.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190611/june18-24-precip-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190611/june18-19-flooding-risk.png
This is probably not fine. But we still have a chance of these being absolutely wrong. Heck, we'd settle for being a bit wrong. But we simply cannot handle this much additional rainfall. Check out the GARGANTUAN totals we've received since this mess began on April 30. For northeastern, central, and north central Oklahoma, easily their wettest such period since at least 1921.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190611/apr30-june11-rain-totals.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20190611/apr30-june11-rain-stats.png
Wish there was better news. Again, we hope these forecasts and outlooks fizzle. Or even drizzle. But no more rain for awhile.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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