MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... July 10, 2012 July 10, 2012 July 10, 2012 July 10, 2012
We call it maize, you call it expensive
Drought continues to flourish in Oklahoma, even as rain falls in localized areas. Here is what the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service folks said in their latest Oklahoma Crop report.
The drought continued to develop across the state under hot and dry conditions the past week. Over 61 percent of the state was in a moderate to extreme drought per the July 3rd Drought Monitor. Little to no rain fell in western and central Oklahoma, with a few isolated areas of heavier rainfall in eastern Oklahoma and the Panhandle: Hooker recorded 2.5 inches of rain in the Panhandle and McAlester received two inches. Average temperatures were in the mid 80?s and highs continued to top 100 degrees. All crops suffered from the developing drought, though dryland crops fared worse with the lack of precipitation the past few weeks. Livestock conditions declined somewhat, as the heat took its toll on the animals, as well as the available pasture and stock ponds. Grasses were burning up and hay production was limited. Topsoil moisture conditions were rated mostly short to very short, with only six percent rated adequate. Subsoil moisture conditions were rated short to very short, with 14 percent rated adequate.
The drought is much worse in other parts of the country, especially up in the important corn growing areas of the Midwest. You will start to see this reflected in the price of food and other goods as the drought continues to damage crops.
Here are some other sobering statistics from across the country. I'll try to throw a few national maps in there as well.
Topsoils * Topsoils covering almost exactly 70% of the 44 reporting states are short or very short of moisture
Rangeland/Pastures * Now 50% of pastures and ranges are in poor or very poor condition; this is exceeded only by the 51% reported on both August 13 and 20, 2006...and the 52% reported September 15, 2002. * The 7% of the contiguous states that slid into poor or very poor condition is topped only by the 9% that similarly deteriorated last week * Poor and very poor conditions expanded into 23% of the contiguous states in the last 4 weeks, a record. In fact... * Such conditions expanded into 22% more of the contiguous states in the last 3 weeks; more than any 4-week period on record * For this time of year, late June to late July, the 50% coverage is well ahead of the previous maximum - 41% July 16, 2006 * Looking just at very poor conditions, the numbers aren't quite so remarkable; now 21% of the nation is in very poor condition, which has been exceeded in 33 of the 452 weeks on record...though the record is not too much higher (26%, September 15 & 22, 2002)
Zounds! I know I talk all the time about drought creeping up and therefore being tough to track real-time, but this sure happened in a hurry! Now 94% of Oklahoma topsoil is rated short/very short. Again, remember the rains we've gotten recently helping here and there.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/july-8-topsoils.png
Here is the one-week change, a 15% slide for Oklahoma.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/1-week-change.png
For much of corn country and the rest of the Great Plains, this is some of the driest topsoil conditions experienced since 1995. The zeroes indicate it is the driest. For Oklahoma, it darned near is.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/percentiles-for-july8.png
There are a lot of whopping nasty droughts in that time frame. Nothing like the Dust Bowl, but several short-yet-catastrophic episodes, like the 1996, 2001-02, 2005-06 and 2010-11 droughts.
The pasture conditions could be worse.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/pastures-poor-verypoor.png
But for this time of year, they ARE worse.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/pastures-seasonal.png
But that's been my point the last couple of months. The dry conditions are ahead of schedule with two more months of "normally" dry weather to go. This current rain is a big help in some parts. Like a lot of summer rains, however, this one is true to form ... too localized thus far.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120710/rainrfc.96hr.png
At least the rain and cooler weather will slow the advance and intensification of drought for Oklahoma, but advance and intensify it will when the heat comes back.
Forget stocks, bonds, or precious metals. Invest in Doritos.
Gary McManus Associate State Climatologist Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
==================================================
The OCS/Mesonet Ticker
https://ticker.mesonet.org/
To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker
or for questions about the Ticker or its content
Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS
Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org
---------------------------------------------------
-C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey
===================================================
|