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. . . Ticker for March 9, 2023 . . .
        
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Wet Man Dry Man


https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/60day-rain-totals.png

These newfangled Artificial Intelligence programs are all the rage these days, and
will probably remain so right up until they eradicate us. Hey, I've seen the movie,
okay? Well, I've seen ALL the movies (no, really, I've seen ALL movies),
including the ones WITH SKYNET. Somebody recently suggested the Ticker might be
replaced by AI. Yeah, unless we're programming AI programs with insanity and
nonsense built in, I'd like to see them try!

First off, there's nothing artificial about MY intelligence because I have none!

Wait, let's back up there. Okay, I fed ChatGPT (the most famous AI program at the
moment) a request to tell me a drought joke. Instead of the most obvious response
of "You"...get it, I track drought, I'm a joke? This is what it came up with
instead:

Q: What did the farmer say after he realized it hadn't rained in weeks?
A: Looks like I'm in a drought-er situation!

Riiiiighhhttttt. Okay, maybe I'll be forced to laugh after I'm enslaved by our
robot Overlords. Let's try another.

Q: What did the farmer say when he saw a raincloud?
A: Finally, some relief from this drought!

Dude, that's not even a joke! You want a good drought joke? I'll tell you a good
drought joke.

My scalp hasn't seen at least a quarter-inch of hair in 6,438 consecutive days.

Now THAT'S a drought.

Okay, enough of that. The rain disparity between the SE half of the state vs.
the NW half of the state continues to be no joking matter. Even after TWO
rainfall events (count 'em...use your fingers and toes if you have to) this
week, almost nothing has changed with that growing disparity, centered roughly
along the I-44 corridor.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/5day-rain-totals.png

Lots of great totals around or SE of I-44, but a few paltry areas with less
than a tenth of an inch to the NW. and the differences between stations on
either side of that corridor are tremendous. Take Pawnee vs. Bixby, for instance.
That's roughly 50 miles as the crow flies. Pawnee has had 2.1 inches, Bixby
has had 8.9 inches. That's a 6.8" difference in 50 miles!

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/pawnee-bixby.png

Heck, it's raining in Bixby right now for crying out loud...but not in Pawnee.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/current-radar.png

That leaves us with an equally disparate drought map, as evidenced in today's
new Drought Monitor.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/20230307_ok_trd.png

So when we look at the corresponding changes over those last 60 days, it's
pretty obvious where those are going to be.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/60day-change-map.png

And while that 60-day rainfall pattern follows climatology, to a certain degree
(or inch, since we're talking rain, not temperature), the deficits and surpluses
show that climatology ramped up on steroids.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/del60day_rain.current.png

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/pct60day_rain.current.png

Any hope coming up for some drought-quenching rainfall for northwest Oklahoma?
What say you, ChatGPT??

"Unfortunately, there is no guarantee that the current drought in northwest
Oklahoma will end soon. However, there is hope for more rainfall, as the
weather patterns are constantly changing and the region is prone to strong
storms and heavy rainfall. Therefore, it is important to stay informed about
the weather and keep an eye out for any signs of increased rainfall."

HA! What a stupid answer. Now let the professional have a try.

https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230309/7day-rain-forecast.gif

Hmmm, unfortunately, there is no guarantee that the current drought in northwest
Oklahoma will end soon. However, there is hope for more rainfall, as the
weather patterns are constantly changing and the region is prone to strong
storms and heavy rainfall. Therefore, it is important to stay informed about
the weather and keep an eye out for any signs of increased rainfall.

Whose intelligence looks artificial now, electron-brain!

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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