MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... October 7, 2020 October 7, 2020 October 7, 2020 October 7, 2020
Once in a Blue moon
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/mesonet.rainfall.tenthinch.png
Dang it, Blue...you might have just jinxed any rain we were going to get. But I can't stay mad at you, Blue. Let's direct our ire at Mother Nature. In providing Drought Monitor input to the national author yesterday, I began to sense a great disturbance in the for...no, wait, wrong movie. I began to sense a flashback to 2017 when this sort of pattern set up, just a month later. Another drought, another meme.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20171109/good.old.days.png
Drought was just getting started at this time back in 2017. This is what it looked like at its peak.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20180315/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20180329/20180327_OK_trd.png
Now we can't say it's going to get THAT bad, but there are other similarities as well. There was an active La Nina that cool season as well (reminder for this episode):
http://ticker.mesonet.org/select.php?mo=09&da=16&yr=2020
So we don't need to go all 2017-18 just yet, but it's definitely going to get worse before it gets better. Take a gander (also good for the goose) at the various rainfall forecasts and outlooks.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/7day-rain-forecast.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/oct7-21-chance-1inch.accumulation.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/oct12-16-rain-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/oct14-20-rain-outlook.gif
Hey, at least it's not hot, to speed that drying up, right? Oops. We'll be flirting with record temps for the next couple of days at least.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/todays-forecast-highs.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/oct7-record-highs.png
But the chance for more fall is certainly better than the chance for more rain!
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20201007/oct14-20-temp-outlook.gif
We have a long time to go (back) to reach 2017-18 levels. But I'm concerned.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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