MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... November 2, 2022 November 2, 2022 November 2, 2022 November 2, 2022
Twisted
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/day2probotlk_0600_torn.png
Some folks may be saying to themselves "But Gary, why do you show the tornado risk map when its so low?"
QUIT CALLING YOURSELF GARY IF YOUR NAME ISN'T GARY! And it's "it's", not "its"! If you're going to be delusional, lern to spel.
Any anyway, you don't want to be Gary.
"Most unpopular baby boy names of 2022"
Kobe, Jeffrey, Nigel, Ashton, Graham, Stuart, Chad, Gary, Bill
Welcome to the party, Bill.
Anyway, back to the delusions...I mean weather. I figure if we get folks to sit up and take notice because of tornadoes, then they'll be prepared for just about anything.
Wind is probably the biggest hazard we'll be looking at, although all modes of severe weather are possible.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/day2otlk_0600.gif
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/day2probotlk_0600_wind.gif
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/day2probotlk_0600_hail.gif
Likely late into the night on Thursday, storms will form in the eastern Panhandles and start marching east.
As we go into early Friday, the risk continues.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/day3otlk_0730.gif
So possibly two rounds of storms, ahead of the front along the dryline, then along the front as it gets farther east. The system has sped up a bit, so less rain that what we were originally looking at.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/3day-rain-forecast.gif
Already starting to see those southerly winds increase and the moisture stream north from the Gulf, which is key to the whole deal.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/current-winds.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/current-dewpoints.png
The southerly winds and moist air will be keeping our morning lows warm enough to be on the unusual side.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/thursday-forecast-lows.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/friday-morning-lows.png
Other than a brief blip following the cold front, we're gonna stay as we have much of 2022...on the warmer than normal side.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/nws-norman-7day-temps.png
But don't look now.
Okay, now look. We're seeing signs in the larger pattern of our first actual winter-ish type of air from the north coming later next week, like next weekend or so.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/nov9-15-temp-outlook.png
This would be lows in the 20s and highs in the 40s type of stuff. And a bit of snow across northern OK is starting to show up in the fantasy-cast territory.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20221102/fantasy-snow.png
Hey, it's 2022. Anything could happen!
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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