MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... December 1, 2016 December 1, 2016 December 1, 2016 December 1, 2016
November summary and chance of a cold, cold rain!
Yes, winter is scheduled to come barreling through the state late next Tuesday or early Wednesday. Yes, it's very upsetting, but we've avoided it long enough I reckon (read November's toasty summary below!). Here's the GFS forecast model's view of wind chills around 6am next Wednesday. Still a long, LONG time away forecast-wise, but when cold air gets on the move, it's tough to slow down.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/windchills-wed-6am.png
Before we get there, however, we're gonna get several days of a cold rain, with a few flakes thrown in here and there. As per usual, the Panhandle will have the great chance for accumulating snows.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nws-norman-7day-planner.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nws-tulsa-weekend-rain.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nws-amarillo-snow.png
However, we do need the rain, somewhat desperately in some places (READ THE NOVEMBER SUMMARY BELOW!). And so these 7-day rainfall totals would be nicer if they were a tad higher to the NW, but we'll take what we can get. The SE should get a good soaking again.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/7day-rain-forecast.gif
And now, onto the summary of November's weather. A near-historic warm month, autumn and 2016 continued...as did drought.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mother Nature did little during November to sooth those areas in Oklahoma most impacted by drought. Significant rains were scattered and temperatures were well above normal ? as was the Oklahoma wind. All those factors contributed to drought intensification. According to preliminary data from the Oklahoma Mesonet, the statewide average rainfall total was 1.23 inches, 1.28 inches below normal and ranked as the 41st driest November since records began in 1895. The four sites in McCurtain County led the state with more than 4 inches of rain, the only Mesonet stations out of 119 to eclipse that mark. Valliant led the way with 4.93 inches. Southwestern Oklahoma also saw significant moisture with more than 2 inches across Greer, Kiowa and Comanche counties. Hooker and Goodwell brought up the rear with 0.04 inches and 0.02 inches, respectively. Sixty-three of those 119 stations recorded less than an inch of rain for the month.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-rain-totals.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-rain-depart.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-rain-pct.png
November brought climatological autumn to a close and as expected, it finished much drier than normal. The September-November statewide average of 6.44 inches was more than 3 inches below normal to rank as the 36th driest fall on record.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/fall-rain-totals.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/fall-rain-depart.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/fall-rain-pct.png
The January-November period was extremely dry from much of eastern into central Oklahoma. The east central region was more than 10 inches below normal to rank as the 24th driest on record, while southwestern Oklahoma enjoyed a surplus of more than 3 inches and a ranking of 27th wettest. Statewide, the average fell more than 4 inches below normal to rank the year thus far as the 53rd driest on record.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/jan-nov-rain-totals.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/jan-nov-rain-depart.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/jan-nov-rain-pct.png
The statewide average temperature was 5.3 degrees above normal at 54.6 degrees to rank as the third warmest November on record.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-avg-temps.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-temps-depart.png
High temperatures rose into the 70s and 80s with unusual regularity well into the month. Buffalo topped the Mesonet with a reading of 90 degrees on the 16th breaking the all-time statewide high for that date. The previous record high for Nov. 16 was 89 degrees set at Ft. Reno more than a decade before statehood in 1894. Periodic cold fronts meant occasional forays into freezing weather, especially in the dry air across northwestern Oklahoma. Hooker and Beaver reached 12 degrees on the 19th for the lowest readings. The Mesonet site at Eva in Texas County fell to 32 degrees or lower for a total of 100 hours to lead the state. Nearly the entire state had experienced a hard freeze of at least 28 degrees by the end of the month.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov-hours-below-frzng.png
The near historic warmth of October and November pushed climatological fall to end as the 2nd warmest on record at 65.6 degrees, 4.8 degrees above normal, still well below 1931?s 66.4 degrees. The first 11 months of 2016 rose 2.6 degrees above normal, the third warmest such period on record.
Drought erupted and intensified from the beginning of the month according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, rising from 36 percent of the state on Nov. 1 to nearly 48 percent of the state by month?s end.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov1-drought.monitor.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/nov29-drought.monitor.png
That is the highest percentage of the state in drought since 59 percent on May 5, 2015. The biggest increase came in the more intense drought categories, with severe drought increasing from 8 percent to more than 15 percent and extreme drought emerging 3 percent. The Drought Monitor?s intensity scale slides from moderate-severe-extreme-exceptional, with exceptional being the worst classification. Drought increased from 14 percent of the state to 48 percent during autumn. Oklahoma was drought free at the beginning of 2016.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/jan5-drought.monitor.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/sept6-drought.monitor.png
The December temperature and precipitation outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) were noncommittal for Oklahoma save for slightly increased odds of above normal precipitation across far southeastern Oklahoma.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/dec-temp-outlook.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/dec-precip-outlook.gif CPC?s U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook for December therefore showed some drought improvement across far southeastern Oklahoma. Otherwise, drought is expected to persist in the state where it currently exists. No drought development is forecast.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20161130/dec-drought-outlook.png
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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