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. . . Ticker for April 25, 2016 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... April 25, 2016 April 25, 2016 April 25, 2016 April 25, 2016 There's a bad storm on the rise http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/baghdad-bob.jpg http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/SPC-risk-categories.jpg Okay, the title says Creedence, but you'll get our resident denier Baghdad Bob instead. Why? Well, because it looks apparent that SOMEBODY is going to get bad storms tomorrow, but the forecasts just aren't sure yet. You can see that northern Oklahoma looks to be in the most precarious position, but really anywhere up and down the I-35 corridor and then a bit to the west and farther to the east has the chance to get a bit of excitement tomorrow afternoon through the evening. Not to correct Baghdad Bob, optimist that he is, but the Storm Prediction Center's Day 2 discussion that goes along with that map does mention the possibility of "STRONG /POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACK/ TORNADOES...VERY LARGE /PERHAPS GIANT/ HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR." I'm not sure about you, but the term "GIANT HAIL" is more ominous than LONG-TRACK TORNADOES. Yeesh. But there are still uncertainties with where that dryline will set up, where storm initiation will occur, how intermittent will storm coverage be as you go south, etc. There are so many possibilities still to determine with this storm system I'm just going to show you the local NWS offices' takes on the matter so you can blame...I mean be better informed. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/nws-norman-tues-svr.risks.jpg http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/nws-norman-tues-svr.timing.jpg http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/nws-norman-tues-tornado.risk.jpg http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/nws-tulsa-tues-svr.risks.gif Along with the storms comes a chance of rain. Obviously if you're under one of those big honking supercells, your mileage will vary when it comes to this rainfall forecast map. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/3day-rain-forecast.gif And since far western Oklahoma will be behind the dryline, and with some still- dormant vegetation out that way, fire risks will increase in the windy, dry air. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20160425/nws-amarillo-fire-risk.gif There will possibly be another big severe weather setup for Friday, but we'll worry about that one once we get past this one. The advice is still the same as usual. No need to panic (but don't go all serene either lest you be overrun like Baghdad Bob). Just stay weather aware, stay tuned to your favorite trusted wx resources (local NWS offices, local emergency managers, media, etc.). And please please PLEASE remember that the information presented today can and probably will change a bit as the forecast gets fine tuned. See you tomorrow for more up to date information. Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================