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August 24, 2012 August 24, 2012 August 24, 2012 August 24, 2012
Come aboard. We're expecting you...
I have been asked by many people to quit talking about rain because I'm a jinx. I
take exception to that characterization. After all, I was silent for many years
about both hair and money, and I have little of either. Plus, I talk endlessly
about drought and that hasn't seemed to jinx that! Well, maybe it only jinxes
good things. But despite my efforts, it has rained anyway. It wasn't a
statewide drenching, but there has been over an inch in northwestern Oklahoma.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/rainrfc.48hr.png
Putnam recorded 1.63 inches and it had gone over 70 days without at least 0.25"
of rain on any single day! That map from the Mesonet looks a lot less orange, but
there are still some holdouts. Our stations up in Noble County are still chugging
along at 63 consecutive days. I have a feeling this map is going to be mostly
green after this weekend.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png
The latest data still shows some good rains are yet to come as that upper-level
low out west tracks slowly to the east, as graphicalized by our friends from
the area NWS offices.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/nws-amarillo.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/nws-norman-rain.jpg
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/nws-tulsa.png
And this morning's HPC forecast has a similar look.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/5-day-rain.gif
There was a brief flirtation with Isaac as he meanders through the Caribbean,
providing mirth and laughter as he deals spirits to happy people on the Promenade
Deck (youngsters, google it).
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/isaac.jpg
Whoops, wrong Isaac. It now appears that Tropical Storm Isaac will track a bit
farther to the west, but not make a run at Oklahoma. If you're going to Destin
or Mobile next week, however, I'd take an umbrella and a plane ticket to just
about anywhere else.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/isaac-spaghetti-plot.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20120824/isaac-forecast-cone.gif
That track is not set in stone. Sometimes those tropical systems can behave
as erratically as a June bug in a bathroom. I'm not sure what that meant, but
when has that stopped me from writing it down?
Gary McManus
Associate State Climatologist
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
(405) 325-2253
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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