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. . . Ticker for October 18, 2023 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... October 18, 2023 October 18, 2023 October 18, 2023 October 18, 2023 We like you https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/norma.png Hey now, you want a different movie reference, you need a different Ticker writer. (I heard that)! And Sally Field won her first Oscar for "Norma Rae," which makes us jealous since the only award we won was a Pulitzer. No, not THAT Pulitzer...this Pulitzer is given by Raymond C. Pulitzer of Gotebo, for non-distinguished writing about weather and climate. And the "C" stands for "C(k)iller," so be careful about telling him he can't spell. Now when it comes to these tropical storm remnants, you're in really dicey territory, especially coming from the southwest where there's not a lot of flow. In this case, we have a large upper-level trough approaching from the west that looks like it will help catch the Norma and steer it towards the north/northeast, possibly right up our way. And the resulting rain is finally showing up on the 7-day forecast. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/7day-rain-forecast.gif But here's the catch...nearly all of that rainfall on the 7-day forecast is on the 7th day. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/next.tuesday.gif So there you're messing with fire. Well, rain, but if you don't get the rain you could be messing with fire danger. But lots of things can happen when those remnants travel up our way. And with the approaching storm from the west, we should have good moisture return from the Gulf of Mexico with dewpoints quite high for this time of year. So a lot still has to happen between now and early next week, but we're certainly due for some luck. And rain. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/nws-amarillo-next.week.png Between now and then, out temperatures are going to soar into near-record territory across southwest OK as we go through the rest of the week into the weekend. Sunday looks like a scorcher, at least relative to late October. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/sunday-forecast-highs.png Now the odd thing is we have a cold front entering the state right now, but it's not really a COLD cold front...more of a lukewarm cold front. You can see it in the wind fields, but not really on the temperature map. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/current-gusts.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/current-temps.png We should see minimal impacts on today's temperatures. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/todays-forecast-highs.png Our current flash drought is 89 days old. In the next couple of days, a lot of this rain (whatever is on there) will fall off, and these maps will get a whole lot uglier. https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/90day-rain-totals.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/del90day_rain.current.png https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20231018/pct90day_rain.current.png And about getting uglier, (insert proper deprecating remark about me you see fit, but you'll hear from my law firm of Dewey, Cheatem, and Howe!). Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================