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. . . Ticker for October 4, 2018 . . .
MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... October 4, 2018 October 4, 2018 October 4, 2018 October 4, 2018 Even Stevens So we finally have drought on the run across southwestern Oklahoma, thanks to the ginormous rains of the last two months, when northeastern Oklahoma decides to become the current problem child. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/even-stevens.png While the amount of drought in the state remained virtually unchanged (9.11% last week, 8.94% this week), the decrease in the SW was replaced by an increase in the NE. A near even exchange. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/1week-DM-change.png Now I think we're still set up in a pretty nice situation for drought removal over the next week, but NOT so pretty if you're worried about flooding, especially over western Oklahoma. The scenario remains the same as far as I can ascertain... we have that large upper-level trough dominating the western half of the country and the eastern half under a ridge of high pressure. With us stuck in between, we should continue to see abundant moisture flow on southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico. As small storm systems rotate through the larger flow pattern, we'll see rain chances now and again. Then the biggie moves through early next week and we get inundated. Heck, we have a cold front sagging into northern Oklahoma right now, causing showers and storms AND some decent rains very close to our problem drought area in the NE Oklahoma. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/current-temps.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/current-radar.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/rainrfc.12hr.png There's even a flood warning for Kay and Noble counties. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/latest.oklahoma.flood.gif So if you look at the CPC 6-10 day outlooks, you can definitely see the influence of that large trough and moisture from the Gulf. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/oct11-17-temp-outlook.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/oct11-17-precip-outlook.gif I really do think we'll see widespread relief across all the remaining drought areas over the next week or so. The 7-day rain forecast certainly looks favorable for that! http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20181004/7day-rain-forecast.gif Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org ================================================== The OCS/Mesonet Ticker https://ticker.mesonet.org/ To subscribe or unsubscribe from the Ticker or for questions about the Ticker or its content Phone or Email the Ticker Manager at OCS Phone: 405-325-2253 Email: ticker@mesonet.org --------------------------------------------------- -C- Copyright 2024 Oklahoma Climatological Survey ===================================================