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August 19, 2022 August 19, 2022 August 19, 2022 August 19, 2022
Southern Shuffle
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/7day-rain-forecast.png
Did ya know that the actor who played Chunk--Jeff Cohen--had chicken pox on the day
they shot "The Truffle Shuffle" pictured above, and he was so scared they would
re-cast the role that he showed up anyway. You can actually see the blisters on
his belly and chest if you look closely. See, I DON'T want you to look closely at
the rain forecast, since it continues to shift south as feared...especially if you
live in northern Oklahoma, which I'm fearing might get a big GOOSE EGG this
go around. Even the heavy rain advisory from WPC is farther south.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/heavy-rain-risk.png
I've attempted to put together the graphical forecasts both the Tulsa and Norman
NWS offices put together for this weekend into early next week. As both have
cautioned, these could definitely change as we get closer to the event itself.
Oh yeah, and I was never very good at puzzles. Sorry, didn't see such a forecast
from NWS Amarillo for the Panhandle, nor from Shreveport for McCurtain County.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/nws-oun-tsa-forecast-rain.png
We often say that we need a good tropical system to get us out of drought at
times, and while this "thing" that hit the coast last week as a low pressure
system never amounted to much in the way of tropical storm formation, it will
move over us as a mid-level trough this weekend and tap into deep moisture flow
from the Gulf of Mexico (and bring some upper-level moisture from the Pacific
with it) to produce the possible heavy rains being forecast.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/aug14-tropics.png
And we are in the midst of a lovely cool down from the unbearable (well, to
some...I beared it but I never "bared" it) heat of the past 2 months. We will
be hot again today and tomorrow before we go back to early fall mode with lots
of gray skies and rain with temps in the 70s and 80s.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/summer-statewide-highs.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/todays-forecast-highs.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/saturday-forecast-highs.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20220819/sunday-forecast-highs.png
We should struggle to get out of the 80s over the next week after Sunday's
big cool down, at least. Still seeing cooler and wetter than normal weather to
end August. September doesn't look hot and dry like July and the first 3 weeks
of August, at least. Or does it?
Say, did ya know that Jeff Cohen later became an entertainment lawyer?
Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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