MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... March 2, 2023 March 2, 2023 March 2, 2023 March 2, 2023
Spring broke?
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Ahh, you must have tasted it, right? All those 70s and 80s over the last few weeks...errr, months. Coming off the 32nd warmest February and the 20th warmest winter on record, you had to go and jinx us by declaring spring has sprung a few weeks ago...and when I say "you," I mean "me." I just didn't want to get the blame. Let's take care of spring today first, however, in that SE Oklahomans are waking up to one of THOSE days. You know, like last Sunday? One of THOSE days in Oklahoma where the wind threatens to come sweeping down the plains, with you along with it. Once again we will see a moderate risk in SE OK later tonight, with a chance of "Significant" (EF2-EF5) tornadoes, giant hail (> 2"), and severe winds (> 74 mph).
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https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/OK_swody1_TORN.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/OK_swody1_WIND.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/OK_swody1_HAIL.png
OOF! Now that our tornado count is officially up to 11, the last thing we want to see if March trying to set it's own record. Upstream from the severe weather, we should see some showers and storms later this morning to kick off the show... maybe some hail with those. Late tonight into tomorrow, northern OK might see some snow mixing in with some rain. MAYBE, just maybe, brief bursts of moderate snow...enough to plop an inch or so on some grassy surfaces. Don't hold your breath though (I tried it...cold front is still coming today). Here are the timing thoughts on today's weather from our local NWS offices.
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https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/nws-norman-morning.png
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/nws-norman-aft.eve.png
One of the main threats today NOT related to hail putting knots on your noggin faster'n you can rub 'em or wind huffing and puffing and blowing your face in would be flash flooding. Lots of moisture to work with across the SE half of the state (I can actually hear you cursing through the monitor, NW HALF!), and we could see some pretty intense rainfall. With the ground being saturated, we might see some trouble there. Heck, we already have some flood warnings going on across east central OK, for crying out loud! And a flash flood watch is in place in a broader area.
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/2day-rain-forecast.gif
https://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20230302/latest.oklahoma.flood.gif
So a mess today, along with a cold front to keep temperatures down for the next few days, a warm up, then...spring breaks for Spring Break, it appears. The Fantasy-Casts are lighting up the state with snow here and there through the next 14 days. Our (MY!) only hope is it ends up for fantasy than reality.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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