MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... May 26, 2020 May 26, 2020 May 26, 2020 May 26, 2020
May-be we'll get lucky
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/7day-rain-totals.png
Well that was interesting, and we dodged another May bullet. That week of unsettled weather brought some severe weather, but let's face it, it could have been worse. There were a few tornadoes, but it looks like they'll be rated in the weak category. There was hail (of course, that's our MO this spring) and high winds, but probably more flooding than anything. The totals above show a "nice" 77-county rain across the state. I use the term "nice" loosely, because as per usual there was too much in eastern Oklahoma and not enough across the west. I'm betting the far western Panhandle is less than happy today. And we still have significant deficits across western into north central Oklahoma at several time scales.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/30days.norm_dep.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/30days.norm_pct.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/clim.norm_dep.png
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/clim.norm_pct.png
But I'll be darned if it doesn't look like we'll get out of May without a major outbreak of tornadoes. I know the jinx effect I've had on trying to get warmer weather in here and to stick around (obviously that isn't working), but there's only a week left in the month and storm systems are looking pretty scarce over that time. We have a few more days with rain chances then it looks like we'll see an early preview of a summer ridge. Hard to call it a "death ridge," where precip chances go to die, but it's close. Rain chances are already dwindling rapidly across western Oklahoma ahead of the ridge's arrival, as the large upper-level low that brought us our exciting weather pulls off to the northeast.
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/june2-8-temp-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/june2-8-precip-outlook.gif
http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20200526/7day-rain-forecast.gif
If we can get out of May with less than a dozen tornadoes, that's a win. But we still need rain across western Oklahoma. June battles May for the wettest month supremacy, so there's still time to beat the summer doldrums. For now, however, we'll see a warm up through next week as rain chances start to diminish.
Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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