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| . . . Day by Day . . . | . . . December 15 in Mesonet History* . . . | ||||||||||||
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MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... December 12, 2019 December 12, 2019 December 12, 2019 December 12, 2019 Nobody snows http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/snowbody-knows.png There are other things to talk about besides snow, you know. Like how drought continues unabated across western Oklahoma, and how many days above 100 we had this year. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/tmax.ge100.png Man, those were the days! But with the concerning storm system still churning out in the Pacific south of Alaska, all we can do is watch the model output and wait for the different scenarios to come into some sort of agreement with each other. And then we can do it all over again when the storm comes ashore. And then we can do it all over again when it crosses the Rockies! Each time the forecast gets closer to reality, however. As of now, the American and European models are diverging on the path, with the American model (GFS) taking the storm farther north, and the European model (ECMWF) taking it a bit farther south. In the former scenario, Oklahoma goes without snow. Heck, it goes without precipitation at all, most likely! In the latter scenario, looks like northern Oklahoma can get some frozen precip, and points south might get some light rain. Not talking a lot of moisture here, but those areas need whatever they can get. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/7day-rain-forecast.gif Again, we will see once that storm comes ashore and then crosses the mountains and gets disrupted a bit. But it's not looking great for snow chances in the state. And really, for those wishing for a white Christmas, not a lot of great news there either. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/dec19-25-temp-outlook.gif http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/dec19-25-precip-outlook.gif Still a couple of weeks away on that one, so lots of time for things to change to a more Christmasy weather pattern. Right now, the Grinch is steering the jet stream, however. Now we do need that moisture, pretty desperately in the Panhandle and southwest. And it's now been close to 50 days since they've had substantial moisutre across north central Oklahoma. The deficits from 30 to 60 days out are starting to mount. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/mesonet.rainfall.quarterinch.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/30day-rainfall.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/30days.norm_pct.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/60day-rainfall.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/60days.norm_pct.png The Drought Monitor continues to reflect those dry conditions. This map WILL get worse in the areas colored yellow (and tan and brown) unless moisture starts showing up in the next couple of weeks...cool season or not. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20191212/20191210_OK_trd.png Snow, sleet, freezing rain...shoot, we'll take about anything right about now. Well, not the freezing rain. Do. Not. WANT! Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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