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| . . . Day by Day . . . | . . . May 14 in Mesonet History* . . . | ||||||||||||
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MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... MESONET TICKER ... May 13, 2021 May 13, 2021 May 13, 2021 May 13, 2021 Here comes May! http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/7day-rain-forecast.png Mays are like this sometimes...you go through BLAH and all of a sudden it springs (see what I did there?) on you all of a sudden. With virtually no severe weather season thus far due to a variety of factors--cold weather is mostly to blame--that has also meant less rain across parts of the state. And I know that there has been SOME severe weather, and if you have been hit with the hail, high winds, or even tornadoes that have dropped, then it's been a REALLY severe severe season. But in general, it has been pretty benign. I'm not sure exactly how many tornadoes there have been this year...maybe 10? But four of those dropped in January. Over the last 30 days, the northwestern quarter-to-half of the state has really started to dry out. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/30day-rain-totals.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/del30day_rain.current.png http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/pct30day_rain.current.png And that has led to the threat of more drought. I can't grab the official new Drought Monitor map this morning since the site is undergoing a denial of service attack of some sort, but here is a draft copy (we get draft copies during the week so we can help the national Drought Monitor author fine tune the depiction for our state). http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/may11-drought.monitor.png It ain't pretty, but it'll work. The site should be back up shortly if you want to check back for the official map. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ So now we enter a more active period of typical May weather with a chance of storms starting tonight and really extending deep into next week. Our local NWS offices are starting to put the word out. There are still a lot of what ifs with the upcoming weather setup in trying to determine if we're due for high-end severe weather, but it does look like flooding could be a problem with several rounds of robust rains. The CPC outlook for next week sees a chance for above normal rainfall, which for May would mean some pretty heavy rains, possibly. http://ticker.mesonet.org/archive/20210513/may18-22-precip-outlook.gif So sit back and enjoy the boat show, if you can. It would be nice to transport some of those forecast heavy rains to the northwest, but Mother Nature might do that anyway as the weather setup evolves. Anyway, time to put on your May weather preparedness thinking caps now, instead of waiting to see if we have trouble brewing next week. Gary McManus State Climatologist Oklahoma Mesonet Oklahoma Climatological Survey (405) 325-2253 gmcmanus@mesonet.org
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